The match between Canadian player Milos Raonic and Italian qualifier Thomas Fabbiano in the first round of the 2013 US Open has a clear favourite in Raonic and this may look like a totally clear match on the paper. Yes, there is only a little doubt that Raonic will advance to the next round but it could be a bit harder than the odds suggest. The Canadian youngster Milos Raonic holds great serve (possibly the best on the ATP World Tour at this moment) and this guarantees him plenty of free points and his powerful forehand usually makes the rest and this makes him an extremelly dangerous opponent on faster surfaces. A few weeks ago Milos Raonic achieved his career-best result by reaching the ATP World Tour Masters 1000 final on home soil in Montreal, where he only lost to Rafael Nadal. This result catapulted him to the Top 10 for the first time in his career. So Raonic is surely full of confidence at the moment. But the fact is that he wasn't that impressive in his successful run and just played the big points better than his opponents and also had some luck there. His first round opponent here in New York will be rather unknown Italian player Thomas Fabbiano, a player who has never been ranked in the Top 150 and is currently on a career-high ranking of world Nr. 173. So the gap between these two players is rather big but also Fabbiano made some really solid results in last weeks, winning a hard court challenger in Recanati and adding two other semifinal appearances. In addition he had no problems to qualify for the main draw here in New York, defeating all his opponents in straight sets. So also Thomas Fabbiano is in fine form and holds nice 16-4 record since the beginning of July. In addition Fabbiano considers hard court his favourite surface and made the Australian Open and US Open semifinals on the junior level in the past. No doubt that the Italian will be highly motivated in his career-first match in the main draw of a Grand Slam event and could keep the match competitive, especially if we take into account that Milos Raonic usually plays close sets even with low ranked players and just one break of serve is enough for him to win a set. For these reasons we recommend you to place a tennis bet on +8.5 games handicap on Thomas Fabbiano here as this would be covered even by results like 64 62 64 or 63 76 62 and we are not expecting Raonic to win be a bigger margin.
- Starting Time: 27 August 2013, 17:10 CET
- Bet: Fabbiano +8.5 games
- Odds: 1.95
- Stake: 9 units
- Bookmaker: Betfair